Friday, November 4, 2011

Israel vs Iran - Is war about to break out?

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Reports are all over the internet that Israel is preparing to launch an attack on Iran's nuclear facilities. The International Atomic Energy Agency is going to release a report on Tuesday about the status of Iran's nuclear program. I'm quite sure that both Israel and the United States have advance knowledge of what's in the report, and that could explain all the rumbling about Israel preparing to attack Iran.

Now some will say that Israel has no right to launch an attack on Iran, as Iran has a right to develop nuclear weapons because Israel has them, and they being Iran need to defend themselves. To those people I say "Hogwash"! Iran's President has said in public that he would use a nuclear weapon to wipe Israel off the face of the earth. Iran would delivery on that as they have the missiles to do so.

Over the past few weeks the Israeli air force has been conducting exercises using long term bombers, and they have been testing their Jericho Missiles which are also unknown as bunker busters and can go deep into Iran's nuclear facilities which are in the mountains and underground.

So what would happen if Israel does attack Iran? Iran will most likely send missiles into Israel and attempt to use their fighter jets to attack targets inside Israel. The Israeli airforce is the best in the region and Iran's airforce would be shot out of the sky. Could Iran launch a ground way against Israel? No as they would need the help of Syria and Syria is in no position to help Iran given their own internal struggles. Would Iran attempt to attack US forces in Iraq and in the Persian Gulf? Yes they would but the United States still has the forces in the Iraq to mount a massive counter attack, and this week the United States now has in place 2 aircraft carriers in the Persian Gulf, along with 28 other warships, and for Iran to attack US forces would be just nuts, but Iran's President is nuts so I would not rule that out.

So why would Israel want to attack now? Well the timing is perfect for them to do it. The United States still has a major force in Iraq, but that all comes to an end very soon as the US is pulling their forces out of Iraq. Israel knows that if the US forces are gone from Iraq, then Iran could use Iraq as a launching point for a ground war with Israel. But while American forces are still in Iraq, Iran would not be able to use Iraq.

In the 1980's when Iraq was building a nuclear facility, Israel launched a surprise attack and destroyed their facility. Israel also issued a warning to Iraq that if they attempted to launch missiles with chemical weapons attached, Israel would destroy Iraq. We all know that Iran has chemical weapons and the missiles to deliver them into the heart of Israel, and we all know that Israel has Nuclear Weapons and would use them if an attack by Iran with chemical weapons took place.

So the next few weeks the world will be on their toes to see who blinks first.

Until next time!

1 comment:

  1. I would say let's hope cooler heads prevail. But we both know that won't happen. I would say let's hope the EU would "step up". Again, and unfortunately the Europeans are out to lunch and have already given away many of their democratic ground to the local Muslim populas. So that still leaves the Iranian people. Unfortunately the last time the civilian population stood up to their president, they paid the ultimate price.

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